High Risk of IMPORTED EXPERTS – Dr. Rajan Gupta, LANL
October25, 2014 (C) Ravinder Singh
ravinderinvent@gmail.comThis presentation is about Pitfalls in engaging Foreign Academics
Experts. They suffer from four main deficiencies 1. They have just
academic knowledge – they may over 50 years develop Fuel-Cell but its
Technologies are Commercialized by Engineers & Inventors, 2. They have
no Local Knowledge, 3. But most crucial have no capability to
implement their own ideas and 4. Have little idea of Emerging
Technologies.
Academics like Dr. Rajan Gupta of LANL always gave WILD Baseless
presentations cut paste data from here and there – Independent
Engineers and Inventors in particular understand the ground reality of
Technology, Problems, Solutions and Purchasing Power Of the People
therefore can be trusted the most.
Thesis of Amartya Sen was Unequal Distribution of foods during 1942
Bengal Famine etc but not ‘Unequal Distribution of Wealth in India’ –
Academics get Nobel prize for writing nonsense – His home district in
India is least developed region in the world.
Dr. Rajan Gupta was asked to give a presentation of Shale Gas
Development but had bare minimum understanding was often avoiding
critical issues ‘Operators Don’t Share Experiences’ – explanation of
Curved Drilling Technology was inadequate though more than 40 years
old technology – I read about it EXXON annual report around 2000. Euro
Tunnel was dug by Tunnel Boring machines which was not straight for
entire length.
He couldn’t explain properly blasting process of Shale Gas seams 2000m
or more below the ground level. Soon he switched to Power Development
in India By 2050 which was most pathetic.
When the Nations are Mandated to reduce GHG emissions to 1990 level,
he straight away assumed India would need 6000 BU of Electricity
Generation by 2050 from 1000 BU at present 2013-14 level without
considering Energy Efficiency and Intensity of GHG emissions.
Switzerland and India are equal in wealth but India consumes 15 Times
more Power but Switzerland generates over 50 BU of Green Power 35 BU
from Hydro Power alone so GHG emissions intensity compared to
developed countries is over 50 Times.
Wealth & Median Wealth of Adults in SAARC Countries
S.No. Country Adults in thousands Total Wealth $b Wealth/ Adult
$ Median Wealth $ Power
Prod BU
1. Bangladesh 105,324 212 2,017 832 51
2. India 775,767 3,604 4,645 1,006 1102
3. Nepal 17,525 35 1,982 800 3.3
4. Pakistan 107,904 477 4,417 2,384 93
5. Sri Lanka 14,386 71 4,936 2,120 11
6. Myanmar 34,447 69 2,014 1,200 —
7. Mali 6,553 7 1,056 461 0.52
8. Switzerland 6,120 3,554 580,686 106,887 73.4
9. Australia 16,719 7,202 430,777 225,337 245
10. UK 48,381 14,157 292,621 130,590 356
11. USA 240,648 83,708 347,845 53,352 4,260
12. China 1,003,456 21,404 21,330 7,033 5,361
WORLD 4,699,383 263,242 56,016 3,641 23,127
I didn’t expect a LANL researcher to assume India will be Developed by
2050. Fact is India rank only 142 in per capita income.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29_per_capitaI didn’t expect LANL researcher to Ignore Energy Efficiency – For
Every Two Units Consumed One Is Lost in T&D. India can easily save 50%
of power consumption. He has no idea of Emerging Technologies from
Fuel Cells, CHP, LED Lights, TV & Displays, Energy Efficient Products
Like Microwave to be affordable by 2050.
Thus India REAL need of power is just 3000 BU considering Energy
Efficiency and Slow Economic Growth and Very Low Median Income of
Indians at just $1006 per adult or around just $624 per capita.
He had no idea of Hydro Power Potential in Himalayas in Riparian
Rivers which is over 200,000 MW – Brahamputra Bend alone had 200,000
MW Potential but India had lost control of the area to China.
His figure for Nepal was 50,000 MW against 84,000 MW and he also
Carelessly and Unintelligently assumed Nepal would need all the power
– over 100 times its present generation. His figure for India was
120,000 MW less than half of potential in national and international
rivers.
Shocking he had no IDEA that Run Of The River Hydro Projects India had
Built or Under Implementation generate only 40% of Potential at the
site and neither Store Water nor Provide Flood Protection nor Supply
Water for Irrigation and Drinking & Household and Industrial uses.
Recreational facilities of such Lame Duck Dams or use as Bridges are
out of question – even minor Floods Overflow such dams.
3000 BU Units Annual Green Energy By 2030
Green Energy Programs to Avoid 3.0 Billion Tones of CO2 by 2030 are: -
1.] India should be developing 200,000 MW of Multipurpose Hydro
Power+, producing 800m Units of Electricity and avoiding 0.8 Billion
Tones of CO2 every year and around 40 tones of Fly Ash emissions in
air. + Additionally Prevent or Moderate Floods in 40 million hectares
of flood affected land and supply 500 BCM of addition Clean Blue Water
for Irrigation, Municipal other uses, reduce water pumping for
irrigation etc.
2.] 100,000 MWe of Nuclear Power shall produce around 750 BU of green
electricity avoiding 750 million tones of CO2.
3.] 200,000 MWp Solar Power with Tracking shall generate 450 BU of
green electricity to be ready by 2020.
4.] Energy Efficiency 500 BU Annually by 2030 avoiding 500 million
tones of CO2 every year.
5.] Wind, Biomass, Tidal, Bio-Fuels together shall produce 200 BU of
electricity or 200m avoid Tones of CO2.
6.] Electric Transport like Railways, Electric Vehicles, Trams etc
shall avoid 300m of CO2 in replacing petroleum. `
All these programs are Commercially Viable and produce Cheaper
Electricity than by polluting Coal Based power require just $2.5
Trillion investments including T&D. India to Lead The World in Saving
Planet Earth From Impact Of GHG/ Climate Change.
Ravinder Singh, Inventor & Consultant, INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES AND PROJECTS
Y-77, Hauz Khas, New Delhi-110016, India. Ph; 091- 9718280435, 9650421857
Ravinder Singh* is a WIPO awarded inventor specializing in Power,
Transportation,
Water, Energy Saving, Agriculture, Manufacturing, Technologies and Projects.
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